Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.062117 0.070183 0.078410 0.087399 0.096916 0.106664 0.117378
2025-09-21 0.051472 0.063590 0.076502 0.091154 0.107197 0.124121 0.143217
2025-09-28 0.042940 0.057445 0.073493 0.092267 0.113357 0.136086 0.162210
2025-10-05 0.040346 0.057251 0.076465 0.099415 0.125636 0.154280 0.187580
2025-10-12 0.034004 0.051880 0.072864 0.098531 0.128409 0.161527 0.200495
2025-10-19 0.030103 0.048981 0.071767 0.100192 0.133775 0.171427 0.216135
2025-10-26 0.026233 0.045697 0.069873 0.100623 0.137476 0.179237 0.229245
2025-11-02 0.023373 0.043419 0.068980 0.102054 0.142183 0.188066 0.243396
2025-11-09 0.020293 0.040527 0.067078 0.102059 0.145037 0.194626 0.254843
2025-11-16 0.016495 0.036209 0.063035 0.099155 0.144193 0.196702 0.260968
2025-11-23 0.013314 0.032409 0.059399 0.096538 0.143514 0.198824 0.267018
2025-11-30 0.011757 0.030930 0.058787 0.097698 0.147393 0.206288 0.279253
2025-12-07 0.010419 0.029760 0.058666 0.099650 0.152481 0.215486 0.293900
2025-12-14 0.009727 0.029626 0.060006 0.103550 0.160061 0.227754 0.312274
2025-12-21 0.008391 0.028175 0.059345 0.104720 0.164162 0.235806 0.325653
2025-12-28 0.008796 0.029967 0.063475 0.112361 0.176487 0.253843 0.350914
2026-01-04 0.007139 0.027624 0.061332 0.111416 0.177825 0.258493 0.360221
2026-01-11 0.006267 0.026681 0.061220 0.113190 0.182601 0.267306 0.374471
2026-01-18 0.005235 0.025216 0.060207 0.113650 0.185637 0.273954 0.386107
2026-01-25 0.004516 0.024303 0.059993 0.115178 0.190024 0.282243 0.399699
2026-02-01 0.003637 0.022809 0.058747 0.115183 0.192376 0.287982 0.410191
2026-02-08 0.002472 0.020170 0.055426 0.112082 0.190536 0.288432 0.414210
2026-02-15 0.001584 0.017832 0.052410 0.109286 0.188999 0.289184 0.418530